This Blog presents my "Thoughts About" and "Experiences In" ... ISD and HPT... to Improve Performance Competence ... for the sake of the Stakeholders. - Guy W. Wallace, CPT
I have been publishing and presenting on ISD and HPT - Instructional Systems Design and Human Performance Technology - topics and methods since the early 1980s. Many, but not all of my Blog Postings here are sourced and reworked/recycled from those. For a complete listing of my published articles, chapters and books and my presentations at professional events, please go to www.eppic.biz/about.htm

Friday, May 22, 2009

Averaging Up , Down, or Out?















Call me a sceptic, a contrarian, an old f*rt.

Whatever. Grey-beard. Grey-head (not quite yet - but it is coming).

Does the "Wisdom of the Crowd" AVERAGE you up, down - or out?

If you average OUT - what have you accomplished - take the highs and lows and find the median. Like guessing the weight of the Ox.

OK if you are guessing - and playing a gambling game.

What should we do about global warming? Ask the crowd - and collectively they'd get it right? After they averaged "out?"

Getting the right people on the bus BEFORE venturing out on the journey - is an attempt to average up, not down, not out.















Heck - I'm certainly not right all of the time. Not even most of the time. Neither are you.

Life is full of variances. And "non-intuitive" facts. Like leaning downhill over THAT downhill ski (snow skiers know from whence I speak). Lean over the edge ma'am - and you'll be just fine!

OK - you've really got to trust your ski instructor (the ego-maniac right?) to "do what he advises." Lean out OVER the downhill ski and put all of your weight on that - and - don't lean back toward the mountain.

Yeah. Right.















If I have to rely on the WISDOM OF THE CROWD - then better be hanging with the right folks.
















While not PERFECT - Six Sigma - or otherwise...I like ISPI - the International Society for Performance Improvement.
















I've been a member since 1979. Actively.

And I think that has averaged me up.

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First (Second really) Presentation on the CAD Methodology - April 24, 1985

First (Second really) Presentation on the CAD Methodology - April 24, 1985
At the NSPI Conference - by Guy W. Wallace. These methods were evolved by Guy to become the PACT Processes for T&D/ Learning/ Knowledge Management - the subject of his 1999 book: lean-ISD. Was actually "first" publicly presented at the Chicago Chapter of NSPI in 1983.

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